LONGEVITY OF MARRIAGE AND THE LIKELIHOOD OF DIVORCE

LONGEVITY OF MARRIAGE AND THE LIKELIHOOD OF DIVORCE




The common assumption is that longer life-spans will mean longer marriages. But, in western industrialized nations, that doesn’t appear to be holding true. Instead, what is changing is the cause of the end of the marriage has changed from death to divorce. So the average length of the marriage is actually staying substantially the same. 1.



One-half –

a “reasonable” approximate estimate of the U.S. marriages that will end by divorce or separation before the couple’s 20th wedding anniversaries. The remaining half of marriages will probably last another 40 to 50 years after that, only ending in one of the spouse’s deaths. 2.



20 percent

The likelihood of a U.S. first marriage ending in separation or divorce is highest during the first five years of marriage – 20 percent. 3.

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